Muhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel Filho Odds
Mokaev Odds | -820 |
Filho Odds | +570 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (+120 / -154) |
Venue | The O2 Arena in London |
Time | 3 p.m. ET |
Channel | ESPNews and ESPN+ |
Odds as of Saturday and via FanDuel |
In a preliminary undercard fight at UFC 286 on Saturday, Muhammad Mokaev competes against Jafel Filho.
One of the biggest pound-for-pound prospects in the UFC, Mokaev looks to keep his perfect 9-0 record intact against the 14-2 Filho.
Here’s a glimpse at the probabilities, along with my Mokaev vs. Filho selection, for this preliminary event broadcasted on ESPNews.
Tale of the Tape
Mokaev | Filho | |
---|---|---|
Record | 9-0 | 14-2 |
Avg. Fight Time | 10:08 | 11:31 |
Height | 5’7″ | 5’7″ |
Weight (pounds) | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
Reach (inches) | 70″ | 68″ |
Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
Date of birth | 7/30/2000 | 5/5/1993 |
Sig Strikes Per Min | 1.15 | 2.52 |
SS Accuracy | 54% | 42% |
SS Absorbed Per Min | 0.99 | 2.95 |
SS Defense | 53% | 46% |
Take Down Avg | 8.88 | 2.60 |
TD Acc | 54% | 28% |
TD Def | 0% | 100% |
Submission Avg | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Mokaev, a 22-year-old fighter, has achieved four wins by submission with a flawless record of 9-0. His absolute supremacy persists as he consistently outperforms anyone who dares to challenge him. Mokaev is undoubtedly one of the most rapidly emerging talents in the world of MMA.
With a 54% precision rate, Mokaev maintains an outrageous average of 8.9 takedowns per 15 minutes during that duration. Throughout his initial three UFC fights, he has completely dominated his adversaries on the mat and holds a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, specializing in grappling.
Mokaev, known for his relentless shooting takedowns, can easily get away from his opponents on the mat due to his stamina, youth, and skill. There is little anyone can do against him once the fight hits the ground. His last three fights have resulted in two submission victories, showcasing why he is a formidable opponent. Mokaev’s ability to get away from his opponents and secure takedowns is a result of his relentless style, stamina, and youth.
There is a justification as to why Mokaev is placing almost eight dollars on the moneyline, positioning him as the most prominent frontrunner on this particular event. Without any intention to insult Filho, a skilled Contender Series graduate, the skill gap between these two individuals is substantial. These two guys are on completely different levels in terms of ability. The reason behind Mokaev laying nearly eight dollars on the moneyline is quite evident, considering the vast difference in skill between these two contenders. No offense to Filho, who is a capable alum of the Contender Series, but these two individuals are simply miles apart in terms of their abilities.
Filho, one of the most promising talents in the sport, has now been thrust into the spotlight with his UFC debut. Nevertheless, he has not yet encountered opponents with a significant reputation at the professional level, resulting in a successful 14-2 start to his career. Originating from Brazil, Filho also tends to favor grappling during fights.
Mokaev vs. Filho Pick
It will be intriguing to observe what Filho’s strategy is for this bout. Usually favoring wrestling, Filho might opt to remain standing against the unstoppable Mokaev. Against the unstoppable Mokaev, Filho might choose to attempt to stay on his feet. It will be interesting to see what Filho’s game plan is for this fight, as he typically prefers grappling.
I don’t think I can stop Mokaev’s takedowns, but I will accept this fight as a grappling/wrestling match. Filho has chosen this route, and I will stick with it based on what he has achieved so far.
The submission I favor for this fight is Mokaev at plus-money. Taking into account Filho’s previous tap-outs at the professional level and Mokaev’s expertise in submissions, it is highly probable that this fight will primarily occur on the mat. If you are interested in betting on the -770 favorite, it would be wise to explore the prop market.
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